Estimate Your Risk - In the past century, researchers have begun to predict heart-disease risk by manipulating key numbers. The Framingham Heart Model- an algorithm that factors in your age, cholesterol, blood pressure, and other figures--remains a widely used prediction tool. Broaden the equation. Current research suggests that the Framingham Heart Model has some limitations: It doesn't consider family history, lifestyle, and body mass index. According to a study in BMC Medicine, a third of heart trouble occurs in people labeled as low risk by common prediction models. So if you use the online tool, don't place a lot of stock in the results until you and your doctor have fully analyzed your family history and any bad habits you have, such as smoking or excessive drinking.
Furthermore, be careful about which Framingham model you use. There's a more complex equation-based version and a simpler points-based version. In a 2010 study, it was found that the points-based system was the less accurate one: It classified 17 percent of men into treatment categories that differed from ones they would have wound up in had the equation-based model been used. Find the equation-based version at MensHealth.com/heartmodel
Source: Men's Health
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